Iran Rejects US Proposed Ceasefire, Counters With 5 Conditions, Prepared To Escalate In Bab al-Mandab Strait

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Tehran asserts talks won't happen until the five conditions are met.


JPMorgan Traders Close Highly Profitable 'Tactical Bearish' Trade

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...move to 'Neutral'


EM Is Breaking… Brazil Isn’t

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EM trades macro stress. Brazil trades commodities and flows. EM is breaking. Brazil isn’t.

China Signals Strong Support For Pakistani Offer To Host US-Iran Peace Talks

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"Ceasefire & peace talks are more important tasks at hand..."


In Win For Putin, India Buys 60 Million Barrels Of Russian Oil, As Refiners Increasingly Transact In Yuan, Dirham

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As Indian purchases of now-unsanctioned Russian oil soar, refiners are increasingly settling purchases of Russian oil in alternative currencies...


Meta To Lay Off Hundreds Of Workers Today As AI Pivot Accelerates

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That’s because the metaverse was such a disaster.


Where Demand Destruction Is Greatest

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First in Asia, then Europe, then everywhere else... 


US Has Been Engaged In Major Airstrikes On Pro-Iran Paramilitaries In Iraq

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After dozens of fighters killed, another war front opening?


Supreme Court Limits ISPs' Liability For Online Piracy

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A service provider is liable for a user’s infringement only if it intended its service to be used for that purpose


Yields Will Get Shock If Term Premium Comes Seriously Into Play

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Term premium has only been a minority contributor to the rise in US and global yields so far...


Democrats Flip Trump's Mar-a-Lago District In Florida Special Election Upset

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"I think it demonstrates where the Florida voter is..."


WTI Steady After Biggest Cushing Crude Build In 3 Years; Imports From Venezuela Highest Since 2019

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“A lot of this is hand-holding, particularly for energy markets...”


Both Sides' Starting Ceasefire Positions Are: "We Won, You Surrender"

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Yet is there more going on in reality? What Iran says its positions are may not be what they actually are – and the same could be true for the US, to a lesser extent...


Hit it when it is down: 11 more charts of why Europe stinks

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Growth gets downgraded, consumers roll over, missing the AI train — and somehow only 23% of stocks are oversold. Europe is structurally sidelined.

Trapped: The Private Credit Exit Door Has Been Locked And Sealed Shut

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When multiple large funds start limiting withdrawals at the same time, that is not random. That is a signal.


Goldman Sees Risk Of Food Price Spike Amid Fertilizer Disruption

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"The Strait of Hormuz is a critical route in the global nitrogen fertilizer market, which accounts for 60% of global use..." 


Will Private Credit Lead To Another Financial Crisis: Goldman Answers

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...rapid growth in private lending and changes in the software sector outlook have sparked concerns that credit could deteriorate. How would a bursting of the private credit bubble impact the broader economy? Here are Goldman's thoughts... 


'Cuba Next!': 1000s Rally In Favor Of American Intervention In Communist Island Nation

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Thunderous chants of “Cuba next,” “patria y vida,” and “libertad” echoed from thousands of Cuban Americans in Hialeah, Florida...


"Too Early For An 'All Clear'": Goldman One-Delta Desk-Head Sees Investors In 3 Camps

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...The real damage is in rates volatility. .. you can’t jawbone molecules.


'RAMped!': Memory Cost Spike Sparks Surge US Import Prices

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...and this is before the war started (and fuel costs surge)!